Sourabh Gupta discusses recent military news from the South China sea region

July 26, 2019

for more inside I'm joined by Saurabh Gupta with the Institute for China America studies is a senior asia-pacific International Relations policy specialist and a frequent guest on our program Sosa Rob what do you make of the language it definitely appears to be tougher the tone sharper especially when it comes to talking about Taiwan what do you make of that I think there I think for quite some time now President Xi Jinping has been trying to make it very clear that Taiwan is a redline simply because this administration has been flirting on cross-straits policy in on dangerous lines it has held the line by and large but Taiwan is that one area where they which is an absolute flashpoint in in in East Asia which will involve the US and and China in a conflict and and China wants to ensure and and project that there is an asymmetry of motivation at its end to defend its interest in Taiwan and that's why the emphasis on well let me give you a couple of bullet points in this white paper China accuses the u.s. of undermining global strategic stability they accuse us of adopting unilateral policies they accused Washington of provoking an intensifying competition among major countries China can say what it wants but the Trump administration is going to read this report a very different way how is it gonna play out in Washington how it's going to play out in Washington is going to reinforce many of the ideas and themes that are already being talked about in Washington with regard to Chinese policy it the folks in Washington will be saying China talks about non hegemony zoom not being not aggressive etc etc but that China is ready and willing to use force at a moment's notice and so it will feed into that aspect of Defense Department policy but I think it's it's fair to afraid to say that both sides need to be very ready and very careful of how they how they talk to each other because the situation today in East Asia given the military modernizations etc is not what it was even two years three years ago would the change in tone on rhetoric and tougher language when it comes to time Taiwan or even South China Sea are you getting the sense Beijing is trying to send a message to Washington here the message that Beijing is trying to send Washington is that there is an existing status quo at this point of time that status quo must not be violated we must have not have new facts on the ground or new facts created in this regard particularly since President Trump came in there was a call to saying when there have been arms sales already this earlier this year there's talk perhaps of selling of selling f-16s this is incredibly propagated from the Chinese point of view and they want to ensure that there is nothing on these on these lines going forward what about South China Sea syrup does the white paper layer add more of the same or is it for the most part similar goals and strategies I think you know the science is interesting because there's been a divergence with regard to Chinese policy visibly the US and Vasavi the claimant states and Southeast Asia that relationship has improved considerably over the last two to three years even though we do have skirmishes from time to time with Philippines Vietnam and Malaysia with regard to the u.s. though ever since the land Reclamation's were made in about mid 2014 the status quo has altered markedly and the u.s. flies its bombers and it does its phone ops so on that front that relationship has deteriorated the us-china relationship and the US and the effort and the Chinese part is to tell the u.s. that you know so far and not know no further because that is the part which can really cause tension and lead to a sort of an outbreak of hostilities we'll see how all this will play out in Washington in the coming days Saurabh Gupta thank you so much

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